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๐Ÿ’ฐ [Global Briefing] 2025-11-30 22:00 ๊ฒฝ์ œ/๊ธˆ์œต ์‹ฌ์ธต ๋ถ„์„

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Global Market Briefing

2025-11-30 22:00 ๊ธฐ์ค€ ์—…๋ฐ์ดํŠธ

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⚡ 30์ดˆ ์š”์•ฝ

2025๋…„ 11์›” 30์ผ ํ˜„์žฌ, ํ•œ๊ตญ์€ ์ •์น˜์  ๊ฒฉ๋ณ€ ํ›„ ๊ฒฝ์ œ ํšŒ๋ณต์˜ ๊ธฐ๋กœ์— ์„œ ์žˆ์œผ๋ฉฐ, ๋ฏธ๊ตญ์€ ๋†’์€ ์˜๋ฃŒ๋น„, ์ธํ”Œ๋ ˆ์ด์…˜, ๋ถ€์ฑ„ ๋ฌธ์ œ์— ์ง๋ฉดํ•ด ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ์–‘๊ตญ ๋ชจ๋‘ ์ •์น˜์  ๋ถˆ์•ˆ์ •๊ณผ ๊ฒฝ์ œ์  ๋ถˆํ™•์‹ค์„ฑ์ด ์ฃผ์š” ๊ณผ์ œ์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ํ•œ๊ตญ์€ ์ˆ˜์ถœ๊ณผ ๋‚ด์ˆ˜ ํšŒ๋ณต์„, ๋ฏธ๊ตญ์€ ์ธํ”Œ๋ ˆ์ด์…˜ ์–ต์ œ์™€ ๊ฐ€๊ณ„ ๊ฒฝ์ œ ์•ˆ์ •์„ ๋ชฉํ‘œ๋กœ ํ•˜๊ณ  ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

๋Œ€ํ•œ๋ฏผ๊ตญ ํ•ซ์ด์Šˆ

  • ์ •์น˜์  ๋ถˆ์•ˆ์ • ํ›„ ๊ฒฝ์ œ ํšŒ๋ณต์˜ ๊ธฐ๋กœ: ์œค์„์—ด ์ „ ๋Œ€ํ†ต๋ น์˜ ๊ณ„์—„๋ น ์„ ํฌ ์‹œ๋„์™€ ํƒ„ํ•ต ์ดํ›„, ํ•œ๊ตญ ๊ฒฝ์ œ๋Š” ํšŒ๋ณต์˜ ์กฐ์ง์„ ๋ณด์ด๊ณ  ์žˆ์ง€๋งŒ, ์—ฌ์ „ํžˆ ๋ถˆํ™•์‹ค์„ฑ๊ณผ ๊ตฌ์กฐ์  ๋ฌธ์ œ์— ์ง๋ฉดํ•ด ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๊ธ‰๊ฒฉํ•œ ์ •์น˜์  ๋ณ€๋™์€ ๊ธˆ์œต ๋ฐ ์™ธํ™˜ ์‹œ์žฅ์— ์ถฉ๊ฒฉ์„ ์ฃผ์—ˆ๊ณ , ์›ํ™” ๊ฐ€์น˜ ํ•˜๋ฝ๊ณผ ์ฃผ๊ฐ€ ํ•˜๋ฝ์„ ์ดˆ๋ž˜ํ–ˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
  • ๋ฏธ๊ตญ์˜ ๋ฌด์—ญ ์ •์ฑ… ๋ณ€ํ™”์™€ ์ˆ˜์ถœ ์˜์กด ๊ฒฝ์ œ: ๋ฏธ๊ตญ์˜ ๋ณดํ˜ธ ๋ฌด์—ญ ์ •์ฑ…์€ ํ•œ๊ตญ์˜ ์ˆ˜์ถœ ์ฃผ๋„ ๊ฒฝ์ œ์— ์ถ”๊ฐ€์ ์ธ ๋ถ€๋‹ด์„ ์ฃผ๊ณ  ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. GDP ์„ฑ์žฅ๋ฅ  ๋‘”ํ™”์™€ ํ•จ๊ป˜, IMF์™€ ํ•œ๊ตญ์€ํ–‰์€ 2025๋…„ ์„ฑ์žฅ๋ฅ  ์ „๋ง์น˜๋ฅผ ํ•˜ํ–ฅ ์กฐ์ •ํ–ˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
  • ๊ฐ€๊ณ„ ๋ถ€์ฑ„์™€ ์ธ๊ตฌ ๊ณ ๋ นํ™” ๋ฌธ์ œ: ๋†’์€ ๊ฐ€๊ณ„ ๋ถ€์ฑ„๋Š” ํ•œ๊ตญ ๊ฒฝ์ œ์˜ ์ฃผ์š” ์œ„ํ—˜ ์š”์ธ์œผ๋กœ ์ž‘์šฉํ•˜๋ฉฐ, ์ธ๊ตฌ ๊ณ ๋ นํ™”๋Š” ์žฅ๊ธฐ์ ์ธ ์„ฑ์žฅ ์ „๋ง์„ ์–ด๋‘ก๊ฒŒ ํ•ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ์ •๋ถ€๋Š” ์žฌ์ • ์ •์ฑ…์„ ํ†ตํ•ด ๊ฒฝ์ œ ํšŒ๋ณต์„ ์‹œ๋„ํ•˜๊ณ  ์žˆ์ง€๋งŒ, ์žฌ์ • ๋ถˆ๊ท ํ˜•์— ๋Œ€ํ•œ ์šฐ๋ ค๋„ ์ œ๊ธฐ๋˜๊ณ  ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

๋ฏธ๊ตญ ํ•ซ์ด์Šˆ

  • ๋†’์€ ์˜๋ฃŒ๋น„์™€ ์ธํ”Œ๋ ˆ์ด์…˜: ๋ฏธ๊ตญ์˜ ๊ฐ€๊ณ„๋Š” ๋†’์€ ์˜๋ฃŒ๋น„์™€ ์ง€์†์ ์ธ ์ธํ”Œ๋ ˆ์ด์…˜์œผ๋กœ ์ธํ•ด ๊ฒฝ์ œ์  ์–ด๋ ค์›€์„ ๊ฒช๊ณ  ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ์ด๋Š” ๊ฐ€๊ณ„ ๋ถ€์ฑ„ ์ฆ๊ฐ€์™€ ์ €์ถ• ๊ฐ์†Œ๋กœ ์ด์–ด์ ธ ๊ฒฝ์ œ์  ๋ถˆ์•ˆ์ •์„ ์‹ฌํ™”์‹œํ‚ต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
  • ์—ฐ๋ฐฉ ์˜ˆ์‚ฐ ์ ์ž์™€ ์ •๋ถ€ ๊ธฐ๋Šฅ ์ค‘๋‹จ (์…ง๋‹ค์šด): ์—ฐ๋ฐฉ ์˜ˆ์‚ฐ ์ ์ž๋Š” ๋ฏธ๊ตญ์˜ ์ฃผ์š” ๋ฌธ์ œ๋กœ ์ธ์‹๋˜๊ณ  ์žˆ์œผ๋ฉฐ, ์ •๋ถ€ ๊ธฐ๋Šฅ ์ค‘๋‹จ์€ ๊ฒฝ์ œ ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ ๋ฐœํ‘œ ์ง€์—ฐ๊ณผ ์†Œ๋น„์ž ์‹ฌ๋ฆฌ ์œ„์ถ•์„ ์ดˆ๋ž˜ํ•ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ํŠธ๋Ÿผํ”„ ๋Œ€ํ†ต๋ น์˜ ๊ด€์„ธ ์ •์ฑ…์€ ๋ฌด์—ญ ์ „์Ÿ์— ๋Œ€ํ•œ ์šฐ๋ ค๋ฅผ ์ฆํญ์‹œํ‚ค๊ณ , ์ด๋Š” ๊ธˆ์œต ์‹œ์žฅ์˜ ๋ถˆ์•ˆ์ •์„ ์•ผ๊ธฐํ•ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
  • ์€ํ–‰ ์‹œ์Šคํ…œ์˜ ์œ„๊ธฐ: ๋ฏธ๊ตญ์˜ ์€ํ–‰ ์‹œ์Šคํ…œ์€ ๋ถ€์‹ค ์ฑ„๊ถŒ ์ฆ๊ฐ€์™€ ์œ ๋™์„ฑ ๋ถ€์กฑ์œผ๋กœ ์ธํ•ด ์œ„๊ธฐ์— ์ง๋ฉดํ•ด ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ํŠนํžˆ ์†Œ๊ทœ๋ชจ ์€ํ–‰๋“ค์€ ์˜ˆ๊ธˆ ๊ฐ์†Œ์™€ ๋Œ€์ถœ ์†์‹ค ์ฆ๊ฐ€๋กœ ์ธํ•ด ์–ด๋ ค์›€์„ ๊ฒช๊ณ  ์žˆ์œผ๋ฉฐ, ์ด๋Š” ๊ธˆ์œต ์‹œ์Šคํ…œ ์ „๋ฐ˜์˜ ๋ถˆ์•ˆ์œผ๋กœ ์ด์–ด์งˆ ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

English Summary

SUMMARY: As of November 30, 2025, South Korea stands at a crossroads in its economic recovery following political upheaval, while the United States faces high healthcare costs, inflation, and debt issues. Both countries face major challenges from political instability and economic uncertainty. South Korea aims to recover exports and domestic demand, while the United States aims to control inflation and stabilize household finances.

South Korea Hot Issues

  • Economic Recovery at a Crossroads After Political Instability: Following former President Yoon Suk Yeol's attempted declaration of martial law and subsequent impeachment, the South Korean economy is showing signs of recovery but still faces uncertainty and structural problems. The rapid political changes shocked financial and foreign exchange markets, leading to a decline in the won's value and stock prices.
  • Changes in U.S. Trade Policy and Export-Dependent Economy: The U.S.'s protectionist trade policies are placing additional burdens on South Korea's export-driven economy. Along with a slowdown in GDP growth, the IMF and the Bank of Korea have lowered their growth forecasts for 2025.
  • Household Debt and Aging Population Problems: High household debt acts as a major risk factor for the South Korean economy, and the aging population darkens long-term growth prospects. The government is attempting to revive the economy through fiscal policies, but concerns about fiscal imbalances are also being raised.

United States Hot Issues

  • High Healthcare Costs and Inflation: American households are experiencing economic difficulties due to high healthcare costs and persistent inflation. This leads to increased household debt and decreased savings, deepening economic instability.
  • Federal Budget Deficit and Government Shutdowns: The federal budget deficit is recognized as a major problem in the United States, and government shutdowns cause delays in the release of economic data and weaken consumer sentiment. President Trump's tariff policies amplify concerns about a trade war, which causes instability in financial markets.
  • Crisis in the Banking System: The U.S. banking system faces a crisis due to rising bad debts and liquidity shortages. In particular, small banks are experiencing difficulties due to declining deposits and increasing loan losses, which can lead to instability throughout the financial system.

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